Category Archives: Connecticut

Nor’Easter #2… #NYwx #PAwx #DEwx #NJwx #CTwx #MAwx #RIwx

Most general forecast models are in agreement with this pending Nor’Easter storm off the middle Atlantic coast. Let’s take a look at some forecast model runs…

GFS:

NAM:

Canadian:

European:

Navy NOGAPS:

The Navy NOGAPS seems to be the outlier in this particular instance. It has the storm center out over the open Atlantic.

The winds and the rain will be the dominant features with this particular storm. However, there is some potential for plenty of snow inland away from the middle Atlantic coast.

NAM:

 GFS:

Although there are clearly differences in the area most at risk of accumulating snow, everyone inland from the middle Atlantic need to monitor this situation. There is the chance that the snow shovels and blowers may get a workout. We will keep you on top of this weather situation here at Weather or Knot. Stay tuned.

Advertisements

Sunday Morning Weather Recap… #OHwx #INwx #MIwx #MAwx #CTwx #NYwx

This morning’s weather map showing fairly quiet weather across much of the US. However, a Nor’Easter could affect much of the middle Atlantic this week. We will dive into the details later on here in this blog posting here on Weather or Knot.

Although low clouds are currently in place here across the Great Lake region, breaks in the cloud cover are possible. Highs today should range from the middle to upper 40s.

As noted earlier, high temperatures should range from the middle to upper 40s across much of the Great Lakes Region. Temperatures will remain fairly steady for highs for the next few days.

Here are the updated model runs for this potential Nor’Easter at midweek in the middle Atlantic…

GFS

European

Canadian

Navy NOGAPS

As you can plainly see, the major forecast models are in general agreement for a potential Nor’Easter at midweek along the middle Atlantic coast. Plenty of rain, wind, and snow will be on tap.

It is starting to look like western Massachusetts, western Connecticut, and far eastern New York state could be the big winner for snowfall. However, this could change. We will keep you updated here on the Weather or Knot blog. Stay tuned.

Tornado Watch (Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York, Coastal Waters)

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 646
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN CONNECTICUT
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
EASTERN NEW YORK
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF POUGHKEEPSIE
NEW YORK. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 641…WW 642…WW
643…WW 644…WW 645…

DISCUSSION…A STRONGLY FORCED CONVECTIVE BAND OVER CNTRL NY SHOULD
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT PROGRESSES EWD THROUGH THE HUDSON
VALLEY THIS EVENING. AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY VERY
WEAK INSTABILITY…BUT INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR AND FORCING FOR
ASCENT. AND WHILE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARD WITH THIS CONVECTIVE BAND…TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OWING
TO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND LOW LCL/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning New York City…

Normally, I do not post severe thunderstorm warnings. However, this is an exception, given it will hit New York City.

Text below…

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
504 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT…
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…
UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…
ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
PUTNAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…
EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT…

* AT 500 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF WALDEN TO 7 MILES WEST OF BLOOMINGDALE TO
MILLBURN TO 8 MILES WEST OF PLAINFIELD TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PLAINFIELD…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF WALDEN
TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST MILFORD TO EAST HANOVER TO 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MIDDLESEX TO PRINCETON…AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS!

Tornado Warning Fairfield County, CT

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
300 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT…

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT…

* AT 258 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SHERMAN…
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.

Tornado Warning Update Litchfield County, CT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
222 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

CTC005-081830-
/O.CON.KALY.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120908T1830Z/
LITCHFIELD CT-
222 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL LITCHFIELD COUNTY…

AT 215 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PUDDLE TOWN…OR 9
MILES EAST OF TORRINGTON…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

Tornado Warning Litchfield CT

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
152 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
EASTERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT…

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 147 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
THOMASTON…OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF WOLCOTT…MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR…
TORRINGTON BY 205 PM EDT…
NEW HARTFORD AND WINSTED BY 220 PM EDT…

Tornado Warning Fairfield CT New Haven CT

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1223 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT…
WESTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT…

* UNTIL 1245 PM EDT…

* AT 1218 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BETHEL…OR
NEAR DANBURY…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
NEWTOWN AND SOUTHBURY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO…THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1
INCH SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

Tornado Warning Update Fairfield CT Westchester NY

CTC001-NYC119-081630-
/O.CON.KOKX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120908T1630Z/
WESTCHESTER NY-FAIRFIELD CT-
1212 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EDT FOR
FAIRFIELD AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES…

AT 1209 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR NOW
INDICATES TWO STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED NEAR RIDGEFIELD AND NEW CANAAN…BOTH MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 35 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GEORGETOWN AND BETHEL

Tornado Warning Fairfield CT Westchester NY

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1154 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT…
EASTERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…

* UNTIL 1230 PM EDT…

* AT 1153 AM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF RIDGEFIELD…OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF STAMFORD…MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GEORGETOWN…DANBURY AND BETHEL.

%d bloggers like this: