Category Archives: Northeast U.S.
Most general forecast models are in agreement with this pending Nor’Easter storm off the middle Atlantic coast. Let’s take a look at some forecast model runs…
The Navy NOGAPS seems to be the outlier in this particular instance. It has the storm center out over the open Atlantic.
The winds and the rain will be the dominant features with this particular storm. However, there is some potential for plenty of snow inland away from the middle Atlantic coast.
Although there are clearly differences in the area most at risk of accumulating snow, everyone inland from the middle Atlantic need to monitor this situation. There is the chance that the snow shovels and blowers may get a workout. We will keep you on top of this weather situation here at Weather or Knot. Stay tuned.
Sandy has already made her presence known down in parts of Tennessee and the Carolinas. All sorts of watches/advisories/warnings are in effect. They currently range from high wind warnings and advisories across the northeast US, down into Ohio and Indiana. Also, blizzard warnings have been issued for parts of the Appalachians in West Virginia and far western Maryland. The effects of Sandy are making its presence known along the mid-Atlantic currently. However, it is only the tip of the iceberg.
The size of Sandy is just unreal. From eastern Canada all the way do to just off the South Carolina Atlantic coast. This will be a long duration event for the eastern part of the US.
The wind field with Sandy is unreal as well. When you see tropical storm warnings along the North Carolina coast and down in Bermuda, it gives the impression of being a very large wind field as well, as it is.
The rain by early afternoon tomorrow will be covering much of Ohio. Note the dark reds down there in the Appalachians of West Virginia and far western Maryland. The one staggering thing with this storm at 2pm tomorrow, it is just the tip of the iceberg.
If we do see any snowflakes mixed in with the rain, it would more than likely occur overnight Monday night into the morning hours on Tuesday. No accumulations are expected for northern Ohio.
The rain facet of this storm will being a very slow decreasing trend in intensity. However, winds Monday night and Tuesday could easily top 60 mph.
A very chilling statement from the National Weather Service in Mount Holly, New Jersey…
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
241 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012
…AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA…
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO SLAM INTO THE NEW JERSEY COAST LATER MONDAY
NIGHT, BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION.
THE STORM IS A LARGE ONE, THEREFORE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT CENTER
OF THE STORM AS ALL AREAS WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.
THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE AN HISTORIC STORM, WITH WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES, INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING, AND MASSIVE
BEACH EROSION. THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND PROLONGED WIND
WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES AND SERIOUS
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPING UP AS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
WORSEN TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY.
SOME IMPORTANT NOTES…
1. IF YOU ARE BEING ASKED TO EVACUATE A COASTAL LOCATION BY STATE
AND LOCAL OFFICIALS, PLEASE DO SO.
2. IF YOU ARE RELUCTANT TO EVACUATE, AND YOU KNOW SOMEONE WHO RODE
OUT THE `62 STORM ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS, ASK THEM IF THEY COULD DO
3. IF YOU ARE RELUCTANT, THINK ABOUT YOUR LOVED ONES, THINK ABOUT
THE EMERGENCY RESPONDERS WHO WILL BE UNABLE TO REACH YOU WHEN YOU
MAKE THE PANICKED PHONE CALL TO BE RESCUED, THINK ABOUT THE
RESCUE/RECOVERY TEAMS WHO WILL RESCUE YOU IF YOU ARE INJURED OR
RECOVER YOUR REMAINS IF YOU DO NOT SURVIVE.
4. SANDY IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM. THERE WILL BE MAJOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE, INJURIES ARE PROBABLY UNAVOIDABLE, BUT THE GOAL IS
5. IF YOU THINK THE STORM IS OVER-HYPED AND EXAGGERATED, PLEASE ERR
ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION.
WE WISH EVERYONE IN HARMS WAY ALL THE BEST. STAY SAFE!
NWS MOUNT HOLLY, NJ
Stay with Weather or Knot for continuing coverage of Sandy.