Category Archives: Severe Weather

Severe Weather Risk Tuesday

 

Relatively Warm:  For this time of year, it is a very pleasant Sunday afternoon in Northwest Ohio. The wind outside today will definitely get your attention, at 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Tonight will feature dry weather, with low temperatures dropping into the middle 20s.

The continued push of warmer air is forecast to continue into Monday and Tuesday. High temperatures by Tuesday are forecast to be well into the 50s, with the outside chance of a few locations approaching 60°.

day3otlk_0830-1

SEVERE WEATHER RISK TUESDAY: A strong area of low pressure is forecast to develop Monday Night and Tuesday in the Lower Great Lakes. That will bring a strong cold front through Northwest Ohio. While the severe weather risk for Tuesday is not as high as down by Dayton and Cincinnati, a few severe thunderstorms can not be ruled out across the region either.

refcmp-us_mw

Coverage of the showers and thunderstorms will increase through the day Tuesday. The main severe weather risk will be from damaging straight line winds. A few reports of large hail is not out of the question either.

EXTENDED: After the low pressure area moves away from Northwest Ohio, colder air will begin to move in. Colder air will be moving in from Wednesday through Friday. Another push of warmer air is possible next weekend. Scattered rain and snow chances are noted through next weekend. 

Stay tuned on the developing severe weather risk for Tuesday here on the Blog…

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#GAwx #SCwx Tornado Watch

ww0559_radar_big

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 559
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
735 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 735 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 30 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH
GEORGIA TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 558…

DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST GA ARE INTENSIFYING…AND
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. STRONG LOW LEVEL
WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL
STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

#ALwx #FLwx #GAwx Tornado Watch

ww0558_radar_big

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 558
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DOTHAN ALABAMA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MOULTRIE GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION…THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS INLAND IN ADVANCE
OF A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EJECTING MIDLEVEL
TROUGH. THOUGH LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP…BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 68-70 F RANGE WILL SUPPORT SURFACE-BASED
BUOYANCY IN THE WARM SECTOR. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE STRONGEST ALONG
THE WARM FRONT…WHERE THE RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE
FOCUSED. OTHERWISE…AN ISOLATED TORNADO AND A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE BAND OF STORMS FARTHER TO THE S INTO THE
FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

Confirmed Tornado Near Penrose, Colorado 5:40pm MDT

COC027-043-101-260000-
/O.CON.KPUB.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140826T0000Z/
PUEBLO CO-CUSTER CO-FREMONT CO-
542 PM MDT MON AUG 25 2014

…A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO…NORTHEASTERN CUSTER AND SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT
COUNTIES…

AT 540 PM MDT…A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS REPORTED NEAR HIGHWAY 67 AND
115. THE TORNADO WAS MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD…DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT…MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
ROOFS…WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL
BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FLORENCE…PENROSE AND CANON CITY.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Fayette GA Coweta GA Meriwether GA Pike GA Spalding GA Troup GA

I normally do not post severe thunderstorm warnings here on the Weather or Knot Blog. However, the severe weather outbreak today in Alabama, Georgia, and Mississippi has been serious.

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
554 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHERN COWETA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHERN MERIWETHER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
WESTERN SPALDING COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHEASTERN TROUP COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 544 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZED HAIL…AND
DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS CENTERED 3 MILES WEST OF
GRANTSVILLE…MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. PERSONS IN GRANTSVILLE NEED TO
MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE ON NOW!

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MORELAND…LUTHERSVILLE…HARALSON…SENOIA AND BROOKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH…PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER…PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE…HAIL OR FLOODING…WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED…AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

Severe Weather Risk… #ARwx #KYwx #MSwx #MOwx #TNwx #TXwx

day1otlk_1300

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted parts of the mid-south into eastern Texas today for a slight risk of severe thunderstorms today. All modes of severe weather will be in play today (isolated tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds).

Let us take a look at a few of the parameters that will be the main factors for possible severe weather to happen today…

0zNAMdewpoint 12.9.2012

Issue #1: The first thing we look at here for any severe weather is the amount of moisture available. There are projected dewpoints in the lower to middle 60s today in the severe weather risk area. Also, note the sharp graident of the dewpoints. Areas in Northwest Arkansas, down into Southeast Oklahoma, and North Central Texas have dewpoint values in the 30s and 40s. That is one indicator that a strong cold front will be moving through the region today.

0zNAMcape 12.9.2012

Issue #2: The next thing we look at for possible severe thunderstorm development is the CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy). Note the green area down in the severe weather risk area. Although the values are only between 1,000 and 2,000 J/Kg, that amount is more than enough during this particular Winter severe weather season to get thunderstorms forming.

0zNAMhelicity 12.9.2012

Issue #3: The third and final issue we look at is the Helicity. This basically shows where the winds are more likely changing with height (for example, winds from the southeast at the surface, and west winds about 10,000-18,000 feet off the ground). This aids in storms getting rotation. Note the areas of orange in the severe thunderstorm risk area. This area indicates where the best potential is for rotating storms.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest severe weather information.

Very Dangerous Storm near #Lockney #Texas… #TXwx

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
725 PM CDT FRI OCT 12 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHWESTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
NORTHEASTERN HALE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
SOUTHEASTERN SWISHER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
SOUTHWESTERN BRISCOE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 719 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL…AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF AIKEN…OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF PLAINVIEW…AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE LOCKNEY.

Dangerous Situation in Floyd and Hale County #TXwx

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
637 PM CDT FRI OCT 12 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
WESTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
SOUTHERN HALE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 633 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL…
AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
OVER SOUTHERN HALE COUNTY…OR 6 MILES NORTH OF ABERNATHY…AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
THE INDICATED COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE…SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8067451290.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

Stormy in Texas Tonight…

An active severe weather evening is on tap for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. Main threats would be from large hail and damaging wind. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for the region through late tonight.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest severe weather information.

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