Category Archives: Winter Weather

Cold Night Ahead For Northwest Ohio #OHwx

453-pm-temperatures

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COLD AND CLEAR: It is a seasonably chilly early Friday evening across Northwest Ohio. Temperatures are running in the middle to upper 20s.

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Skies are clearing out this evening across Northwest Ohio. There is still some snow cover shown here on the visible satellite over Southern Lower Michigan. A clean scan on weather radar is noted as well this hour. Temperatures are forecast to drop steadily tonight as the sky will remain mainly clear. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the lower and middle teens before Sunrise on Saturday.

WARMING UP THIS WEEKEND: A push of warmer air will be making its move across Northwest Ohio this weekend, and into early next week. This weekend will be featuring temperatures that will be somewhat above normal. High temperatures in the middle 30s to lower 40s are possible by Sunday and Monday.

gfs_t2m_ncus_18

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A surge of warm air is forecast to move into Northwest Ohio by Tuesday Morning/Afternoon. That will be in response to a deepening area of low pressure centered around the Chicago area. The warm temperatures should keep most of the precipitation in the form of rain. By Wednesday, most of the precipitation for the most part will transition to snow. It is too early to determine if any accumulation of the snow is possible. Stay tuned.

By the end of next week, high pressure will begin to move back into Northwest Ohio. That will provide quiet weather and much colder temperatures.

You can find us on Facebook at “Northwest Ohio Weather and Photography”. Stay tuned for updates through the weekend.

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Cold Start to the Day, Plentiful Sunshine Though #Findlay #Ohio

Indiana_Ohio.vis

DEEP SNOW PACK: A deep snow pack is still in place here in Findlay and across Northwest Ohio. The morning visible satellite picture picks up on this very well. Even with the snow pack being shown here, there is plentiful sunshine across the city and the region as well. High temperatures today will reach the middle teens with sunshine staying out in full force. Another frigid night is ahead for the Findlay area, as well as Northwest Ohio. With skies remaining mainly clear, the temperatures once again will be dropping down to around zero.

KIWX Radar 1

RADAR PICTURE: We have a clear scan on weather radar this morning across Northwest Ohio. A few spots in the region (including Findlay) are still hovering around zero degrees here at this hour. The next chance for light snowfall currently appears to be on Friday. However, it does not look like that the amount of snowfall being forecasted will not be significant. We will keep you updated here at Weather or Knot with the latest weather information. Have a great Tuesday!

Saturday Evening Weather Summary – Northwest Ohio

003

This is the scene currently in downtown Findlay. A light, steady snow is now falling in Findlay, and across Northwest Ohio tonight. This will be round number one of the snowfall. This first round of snow will accumulate one to two inches. There will be a lull in the snowfall for much of the overnight hours. However…

12z NAM Simulated Radar

…Round number two will be rolling into Northwest Ohio during the morning hours on Sunday. As the case is tonight with the snow, tomorrow morning will be featuring light to moderate snowfall once again across Northwest Ohio. By the time we reach Sunday afternoon, the total snowfall across Northwest Ohio, on average, should range from two to four inches. There could be a spot or two that see around five inches of snow.

12z NAM Temperatures

By the time we get to Monday morning here in Northwest Ohio, it will be turning downright frigid once again. Low temperatures could easily bottom out to around zero degrees. Some spots could even dip below zero on Monday morning. Keep in tune with Weather or Knot for the latest weather information for Findlay and Northwest Ohio.

Frigid Night Ahead for Northwest Ohio

With the temperatures currently forecasted tonight to drop to around, or just, below zero, the wind chills will be dropping once again. As a result, Wind Chill Advisories are in effect across all of Northwest Ohio from late tonight through midday Friday. The wind will be staying steady at 15-20 mph from the west, with occasional gusts to 25-30 mph. Here are what three major weather forecast models are showing for wind chill index values at 7:00 AM tomorrow morning…

12z 4k NAM:

12z 4k NAM Wind Chills

12z NAM:

12z 12k NAM Wind Chills

12z GFS:

12z Hi-Res GFS Wind Chills

There may be slight differences in the wind chill temperatures depicted by these forecast models. Either way you cut it, it is going to be bone-chilling cold on Friday morning across Northwest Ohio. Dress warm when heading out tomorrow morning to either work or school.

Cold and Snow in Ohio

Across Northwest Ohio, we are six feet deep in the cold and snow-filled pattern. I personally have measured 30.8″ of snow here in Findlay since December 1. We had a brief break from this pattern. Not right now. In fact, for much of northern Ohio, we are under a Winter Storm Watch from tomorrow night through Saturday afternoon for the potential of not only two to four inches of snow, but very windy conditions. Let us go into detail about this weekend’s snow/wind forecast…

hires_uv10m_ohio_55

nam_uv10m_ne_19

The first component for this storm setup is always the wind. The 12z 4k NAM, and 12z NAM, show the potential of winds sustained 20-30 mph, with gusts exceeding 35-40 mph. This could easily end up resulting in near-blizzard at times this weekend across Northwest Ohio.

The second component will be the amount of snowfall. Here are a few of the forecast model’s thinking about the total snowfall this weekend:

12z GFS:

gfs_6hr_snow_acc_ohio_33

12z Euro:

ecmwf_tsnow_ohio_1712z Canadian:

cmc_snow_acc_ohio_17Although the forecasted amounts by 8:00 AM Monday morning do differ some, the point is clear. This snow is likely going to blow and drift very badly throughout the weekend, especially in the open, rural areas of the region. If you do have to travel this weekend, make sure to use common sense on the roads. Stay safe out there.

Freezing Rain Potential Late Sunday Night… #Findlay #OHwx

After the two inches of snowfall we received today here in Findlay, a quiet weather scene will be on tap for most of the weekend. However, things will be changing Sunday night into Monday. There is the potential for a period of freezing rain. Let’s get right into the details:

FDY Temperature Forecast

This graph here is courtesy of the Iowa State Meteogram. Notice the area I have encircled. That shows the temperatures will be rising. However, it will still be cold enough during that time period that we could be dealing with icing issues.

FDY Freezing Rain Potential

Other forecast model runs had indicated a potential major icing issue for overnight Sunday, into Monday morning. It was initially showing potential for ice accretion of over 1/4″. This particular model run is showing the potential for 1/10″ to 1/8″ of ice accretion. That is not a lot of ice. However, it does not take much to cause travel issues.

This particular icing threat more than likely will end during the mid to late morning hours on Monday. This will be due to temperatures rising above freezing. We will stay on top of the situation here on the Weather or Knot Blog. Stay tuned.

Saturday Morning Weather Update… #INwx #KYwx #MIwx #OHwx

We are currently tracking the potential for a snowstorm just after Christmas here in the lower Great Lakes region. Let’s take a look at the Hazardous Weather Outlooks from the National Weather Service Forecast Offices in Cleveland, Northern Indiana, and Wilmington, OH…

Cleveland:

OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036>038-047-230930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
426 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO…NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA NEXT WEEK. THE
FIRST ARRIVING LATE CHRISTMAS EVE AND COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY A
LIGHT WINTRY MIX. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY
WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Northern Indiana:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
437 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-230945-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…MICHIGAN CITY…LA PORTE…SOUTH BEND…
MISHAWAKA…ELKHART…GOSHEN…LAGRANGE…TOPEKA…ANGOLA…
KENDALLVILLE…LIGONIER…AUBURN…GARRETT…KNOX…NORTH JUDSON…
WINAMAC…FRANCESVILLE…PLYMOUTH…BREMEN…ROCHESTER…WARSAW…
WINONA LAKE…COLUMBIA CITY…SOUTH WHITLEY…FORT WAYNE…
MONTICELLO…BROOKSTON…LOGANSPORT…PERU…WABASH…
NORTH MANCHESTER…HUNTINGTON…BLUFFTON…OSSIAN…DECATUR…
BERNE…MARION…HARTFORD CITY…MONTPELIER…PORTLAND…NILES…
BENTON HARBOR…ST. JOSEPH…BUCHANAN…DOWAGIAC…CASSOPOLIS…
STURGIS…THREE RIVERS…COLDWATER…HILLSDALE…BRYAN…WAUSEON…
ARCHBOLD…DEFIANCE…NAPOLEON…PAULDING…ANTWERP…OTTAWA…
PANDORA…VAN WERT…DELPHOS…LIMA
437 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012 /337 AM CST SAT DEC 22 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO…
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW MONDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AND THEN LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH
OF THIS STORM REMAINS UNCERTAIN…ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE WITH
THIS SYSTEM FOR THE MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK.

Wilmington, OH:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
515 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-231015-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
515 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA…SOUTHEAST INDIANA…NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…NORTHERN
KENTUCKY…CENTRAL OHIO…MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO…SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO…SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT THROUGH KENTUCKY INTO WEST
VIRGINIA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT…SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT
TEMPERATURE PROFILES IN THE ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME FREEZING
RAIN AND OR SNOW.

A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE
CENTER OF THE STORM WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION. THIS
WILL KEEP COLD AIR OVER THE OHIO VALLEY…WITH THE MAIN
PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPECTED TO BE SNOW. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY
OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS STORM.

THE PATH AND STRENGTH OF EITHER OR BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS COULD
CHANGE…SO STAY TUNED TO THE LAST FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP TO
DATE INFORMATION.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest information on this pending snowstorm.

Storm Update… #INwx #OHwx #PAwx

Well, the potential is growing for a winter storm to affect the region Thursday night and Friday. Here are the following updates from the NWS in Northern Indiana and the NWS in Cleveland…

Northern Indiana:

INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
024-025-191100-
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…WINAMAC…FRANCESVILLE…MEDARYVILLE…
ROCHESTER…AKRON…COLUMBIA CITY…TRI-LAKES…SOUTH WHITLEY…
FORT WAYNE…NEW HAVEN…MONTICELLO…BROOKSTON…MONON…
LOGANSPORT…ROYAL CENTER…PERU…GRISSOM AFB…MEXICO…
WABASH…NORTH MANCHESTER…HUNTINGTON…ROANOKE…BLUFFTON…
OSSIAN…DECATUR…BERNE…MARION…GAS CITY…UPLAND…
HARTFORD CITY…MONTPELIER…PORTLAND…DUNKIRK…BRYAN…
WAUSEON…ARCHBOLD…FAYETTE…SWANTON…DEFIANCE…SHERWOOD…
HICKSVILLE…NAPOLEON…DESHLER…LIBERTY CENTER…PAULDING…
ANTWERP…MELROSE…OTTAWA…PANDORA…KALIDA…FORT JENNINGS…
VAN WERT…DELPHOS…OHIO CITY…LIMA…SPENCERVILLE
745 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

…STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW
POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING…

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS EVENING WILL
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY INTO THURSDAY AS IT TRACKS EAST NORTHEAST INTO
NORTHWEST INDIANA BY THURSDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND PERHAPS
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM LATE

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WRAP IN BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM THURSDAY EVENING WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS LEADING TO SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT OF THE
SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES AND
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION MINOR WIND DAMAGE AND
SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR.

PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

Cleveland:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
357 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012
OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-192100-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
357 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO…NORTHEAST OHIO…NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. WINDS MAY BE STRONG LATE THURSDAY AND CAUSE GUSTS TO NEAR
50 MPH. RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS COULD
APPROACH ADVISORY OR WARNING THRESHOLDS IN PORTIONS OF THE SNOW
BELT. THE STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW…ESPECIALLY IN THE SNOW BELT. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST
FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Mid-Week Storm… #ILwx #INwx #MIwx #OHwx #WIwx

Most forecast model runs are hinting at potentially a major snowstorm somewhere in the Great Lakes the middle of this upcoming week.

Let us take a look at what a few forecast models are showing…

12z Euro:

12zeuro500mbHGHTNA144

12z GFS:

12zgfs500mbHGHTNA144

12z GGEM:

12zggem500mbHGHTNA144

The general idea is there of a big storm to affect the Great Lakes region this upcoming week. However, this is just a projected forecast model. These are not set in stone. Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest on this developing weather situation for this upcoming week. Have a good evening!

Looking Down the Road… #INwx #MIwx #OHwx

Since the system this weekend does not look to be that serious, there are indications in forecast model runs that another storm center may affect the region next weekend. Let’s take a look at a few of these forecast models (these particular model runs took place at 7:00 AM est this morning)…

12z (7:00 AM est) CMC Ensemble:

12zCMCEnsemble

12z (7:00 am est) European:

12zEURO

12z (7:00 am est) Global Forecast System (GFS) Ensemble:

12zGFSEnsemble

These projections are still many days from happening, if they do. However, it is important to give a heads-up. We will be monitoring the situation here in the coming days here on Weather or Knot. Stay tuned.

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