Blog Archives

Sunday Evening Weather Summary for Northwest Ohio #OHwx

657pm Regional Radar

Regional radar this Sunday evening painting a quiet picture across Northwest Ohio. The rest of this Sunday night should remain mainly precipitation free.

KIWX Radar 1

Some high cloud cover is starting to move in this evening across Northwest Ohio. Temperatures will be remaining in the upper teens to the lower 20s tonight.

12z 4k NAM:

12z 4k NAM Simulated Radar

12z NAM:

12z NAM Simulated Radar

12z Regional Canadian:

I_nw_r1_EST_2014021612_036

We will be seeing the chances for snow showers to be moving across Northern Ohio come later tomorrow afternoon. The snow will be lasting through the evening hours. The snow should remain light to occasionally moderate. However, there could be an isolated burst of heavy snow. By the time this Alberta Clipper exits Northwest Ohio late tomorrow night, snowfall amounts on average should range from two to five inches. There could be a brief period of sleet/freezing rain as well. Be sure to take extra care on the roads as you go out and about tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night.

Advertisements

Cold Start to the Day, Plentiful Sunshine Though #Findlay #Ohio

Indiana_Ohio.vis

DEEP SNOW PACK: A deep snow pack is still in place here in Findlay and across Northwest Ohio. The morning visible satellite picture picks up on this very well. Even with the snow pack being shown here, there is plentiful sunshine across the city and the region as well. High temperatures today will reach the middle teens with sunshine staying out in full force. Another frigid night is ahead for the Findlay area, as well as Northwest Ohio. With skies remaining mainly clear, the temperatures once again will be dropping down to around zero.

KIWX Radar 1

RADAR PICTURE: We have a clear scan on weather radar this morning across Northwest Ohio. A few spots in the region (including Findlay) are still hovering around zero degrees here at this hour. The next chance for light snowfall currently appears to be on Friday. However, it does not look like that the amount of snowfall being forecasted will not be significant. We will keep you updated here at Weather or Knot with the latest weather information. Have a great Tuesday!

Saturday Evening Weather Summary – Northwest Ohio

003

This is the scene currently in downtown Findlay. A light, steady snow is now falling in Findlay, and across Northwest Ohio tonight. This will be round number one of the snowfall. This first round of snow will accumulate one to two inches. There will be a lull in the snowfall for much of the overnight hours. However…

12z NAM Simulated Radar

…Round number two will be rolling into Northwest Ohio during the morning hours on Sunday. As the case is tonight with the snow, tomorrow morning will be featuring light to moderate snowfall once again across Northwest Ohio. By the time we reach Sunday afternoon, the total snowfall across Northwest Ohio, on average, should range from two to four inches. There could be a spot or two that see around five inches of snow.

12z NAM Temperatures

By the time we get to Monday morning here in Northwest Ohio, it will be turning downright frigid once again. Low temperatures could easily bottom out to around zero degrees. Some spots could even dip below zero on Monday morning. Keep in tune with Weather or Knot for the latest weather information for Findlay and Northwest Ohio.

A Closer Look at the Severe Weather Potential Thursday in the Mid-South…

The Storm Prediction Center has been hinting for the past several days that parts of the mid-south are at risk for severe thunderstorms on Thursday. Let’s take at some of the components.

12z GFS hr 108 500mb Voricity

#1: Vorticity: Note the Vorticity in the central plains. Note the backwards tilt to it. This is known as a negative tilted trough. This represents the chance for severe storms to the south and east of the Vort Max in this instance. This would include parts of Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana and Mississippi.  This is one component.

12z GFS hr 108 850mb winds

12z GFS hr 108 500mb Winds

#2: Wind: These are the wind speeds and direction generally above ground level. Note the 850mb winds (closest to the surface, above 5,000 feet) that are peaking at nearly 80 knots in West Alabama. Take note the wind speed and direction as well on the 500mb winds (about 18,000 feet). On this 500mb wind map, you are getting winds at 60-70 knots, but at a dramatically difference direction. The 850 mb winds are from the south. The 500 mb winds are from the west. As a result, it is very easy to see that the wind is changing with wind direction and height.

12z GFS hr 108 sfc-925 mb Bulk Shear

#3: Speed Shear: The surface to 925 mb shear (roughly 2,500 feet above ground level) on the 12z GFS here is showing shear at this level around 45-50 knots. This is more than supportive for supercell storms that could spawn tornadoes.

12z GFS hr 108 Jackson MS Hodograph

#4: Hodograph: This is the 12z GFS hodograph valid at 6pm cst Thursday evening very close to Jackson, Mississippi. Note how the hodograph is in circular fashion. This depicts the best potential for supercell thunderstorms with an attendant tornado threat.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest weather information.

Rain is on the Way… #ARwx #LAwx #MSwx #MOwx #TNwx #TXwx

p168i

The storm center that will be affecting the US this week will end up dumping alot of rain. The areas that are in line for the heaviest rainfall will be essentially on a line from Waco, Texas up to the Missouri bootheel. This will help with the drought situation down in Texas. There is also the potential of some severe weather down in southern and eastern Texas this week.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest weather information.

Sunday Morning Weather Recap… #INwx #MIwx #OHwx

IL_IN.ir January 5

SATELLITE: This morning’s infrared satellite map is showing plenty of cloud cover across the Lower Great Lakes region. This has resulted in temperatures staying fairly steady from last night until the morning. Temperatures have been hovering right above freezing for much of last night, and into this morning. The result has been the snowpack starting to melt. With warmer temperatures being forecasted for the next five to seven days, you can say goodbye to the snow on the ground.

Jan 5 AM Surface Map

SURFACE MAP: It is a very quiet surface map here on this early Sunday morning across the region. Not much weather happening around the Great Lakes this morning. The weather pattern will start to get active once again by next weekend. We will go into those particular details later on here in this blog entry.

7 Day Precip Total January 5

RAINFALL FORECAST: A wet seven day period lies ahead. Precipitation amounts across the Lower Great Lakes Region should range from one to 1.75 inches in the next seven days. Most of this precipitation will be in the form of rain.

GFS_3_2013010600_F168_WSPD_500_MB

PLENTY OF WIND: I thought I share this with you. The storm center for next week will feature very strong winds at about 18,000 feet off the ground. Winds in excess of 120-130 mph at that particular level. That is one indicator that this storm has the potential of being a storm to be contended with.

GFS_3_2013010600_F168_TMPF_2_M_ABOVE_GROUND

WARM-UP ON THE WAY: As advertised, plenty of warm air will be flowing into the region as well. Normally one does not see lower to middle 50s at this particular time of the year. However, it looks like that will be the case next weekend across the region.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest weather information. Have a great Sunday!

Saturday Morning Weather Update… #INwx #KYwx #MIwx #OHwx

We are currently tracking the potential for a snowstorm just after Christmas here in the lower Great Lakes region. Let’s take a look at the Hazardous Weather Outlooks from the National Weather Service Forecast Offices in Cleveland, Northern Indiana, and Wilmington, OH…

Cleveland:

OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036>038-047-230930-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
426 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO…NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA NEXT WEEK. THE
FIRST ARRIVING LATE CHRISTMAS EVE AND COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY A
LIGHT WINTRY MIX. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY
WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Northern Indiana:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
437 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-230945-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…MICHIGAN CITY…LA PORTE…SOUTH BEND…
MISHAWAKA…ELKHART…GOSHEN…LAGRANGE…TOPEKA…ANGOLA…
KENDALLVILLE…LIGONIER…AUBURN…GARRETT…KNOX…NORTH JUDSON…
WINAMAC…FRANCESVILLE…PLYMOUTH…BREMEN…ROCHESTER…WARSAW…
WINONA LAKE…COLUMBIA CITY…SOUTH WHITLEY…FORT WAYNE…
MONTICELLO…BROOKSTON…LOGANSPORT…PERU…WABASH…
NORTH MANCHESTER…HUNTINGTON…BLUFFTON…OSSIAN…DECATUR…
BERNE…MARION…HARTFORD CITY…MONTPELIER…PORTLAND…NILES…
BENTON HARBOR…ST. JOSEPH…BUCHANAN…DOWAGIAC…CASSOPOLIS…
STURGIS…THREE RIVERS…COLDWATER…HILLSDALE…BRYAN…WAUSEON…
ARCHBOLD…DEFIANCE…NAPOLEON…PAULDING…ANTWERP…OTTAWA…
PANDORA…VAN WERT…DELPHOS…LIMA
437 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012 /337 AM CST SAT DEC 22 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO…
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW MONDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AND THEN LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH
OF THIS STORM REMAINS UNCERTAIN…ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE WITH
THIS SYSTEM FOR THE MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK.

Wilmington, OH:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
515 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-231015-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
515 AM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA…SOUTHEAST INDIANA…NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…NORTHERN
KENTUCKY…CENTRAL OHIO…MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO…SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO…SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT THROUGH KENTUCKY INTO WEST
VIRGINIA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT…SPREADING
PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT
TEMPERATURE PROFILES IN THE ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME FREEZING
RAIN AND OR SNOW.

A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE
CENTER OF THE STORM WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION. THIS
WILL KEEP COLD AIR OVER THE OHIO VALLEY…WITH THE MAIN
PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPECTED TO BE SNOW. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY
OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS STORM.

THE PATH AND STRENGTH OF EITHER OR BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS COULD
CHANGE…SO STAY TUNED TO THE LAST FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP TO
DATE INFORMATION.

Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest information on this pending snowstorm.

Storm Update… #INwx #OHwx #PAwx

Well, the potential is growing for a winter storm to affect the region Thursday night and Friday. Here are the following updates from the NWS in Northern Indiana and the NWS in Cleveland…

Northern Indiana:

INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
024-025-191100-
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-
HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…WINAMAC…FRANCESVILLE…MEDARYVILLE…
ROCHESTER…AKRON…COLUMBIA CITY…TRI-LAKES…SOUTH WHITLEY…
FORT WAYNE…NEW HAVEN…MONTICELLO…BROOKSTON…MONON…
LOGANSPORT…ROYAL CENTER…PERU…GRISSOM AFB…MEXICO…
WABASH…NORTH MANCHESTER…HUNTINGTON…ROANOKE…BLUFFTON…
OSSIAN…DECATUR…BERNE…MARION…GAS CITY…UPLAND…
HARTFORD CITY…MONTPELIER…PORTLAND…DUNKIRK…BRYAN…
WAUSEON…ARCHBOLD…FAYETTE…SWANTON…DEFIANCE…SHERWOOD…
HICKSVILLE…NAPOLEON…DESHLER…LIBERTY CENTER…PAULDING…
ANTWERP…MELROSE…OTTAWA…PANDORA…KALIDA…FORT JENNINGS…
VAN WERT…DELPHOS…OHIO CITY…LIMA…SPENCERVILLE
745 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

…STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW
POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING…

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS EVENING WILL
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY INTO THURSDAY AS IT TRACKS EAST NORTHEAST INTO
NORTHWEST INDIANA BY THURSDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND PERHAPS
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM LATE

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WRAP IN BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM THURSDAY EVENING WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES AND STRONG
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS LEADING TO SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT OF THE
SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES AND
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION MINOR WIND DAMAGE AND
SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR.

PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

Cleveland:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
357 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012
OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-192100-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
357 PM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO…NORTHEAST OHIO…NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. WINDS MAY BE STRONG LATE THURSDAY AND CAUSE GUSTS TO NEAR
50 MPH. RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS COULD
APPROACH ADVISORY OR WARNING THRESHOLDS IN PORTIONS OF THE SNOW
BELT. THE STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW…ESPECIALLY IN THE SNOW BELT. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST
FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Mid-Week Storm… #ILwx #INwx #MIwx #OHwx #WIwx

Most forecast model runs are hinting at potentially a major snowstorm somewhere in the Great Lakes the middle of this upcoming week.

Let us take a look at what a few forecast models are showing…

12z Euro:

12zeuro500mbHGHTNA144

12z GFS:

12zgfs500mbHGHTNA144

12z GGEM:

12zggem500mbHGHTNA144

The general idea is there of a big storm to affect the Great Lakes region this upcoming week. However, this is just a projected forecast model. These are not set in stone. Stay with Weather or Knot for the latest on this developing weather situation for this upcoming week. Have a good evening!

Looking Down the Road… #INwx #MIwx #OHwx

Since the system this weekend does not look to be that serious, there are indications in forecast model runs that another storm center may affect the region next weekend. Let’s take a look at a few of these forecast models (these particular model runs took place at 7:00 AM est this morning)…

12z (7:00 AM est) CMC Ensemble:

12zCMCEnsemble

12z (7:00 am est) European:

12zEURO

12z (7:00 am est) Global Forecast System (GFS) Ensemble:

12zGFSEnsemble

These projections are still many days from happening, if they do. However, it is important to give a heads-up. We will be monitoring the situation here in the coming days here on Weather or Knot. Stay tuned.

%d bloggers like this: